Description

This analysis provides a forecast of SOL prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2026-02-01 0.000969 0.001108 0.001248 0.001398 0.001555 0.001712 0.001883
2026-02-08 0.000765 0.000966 0.001175 0.001405 0.001649 0.001901 0.002177
2026-02-15 0.000612 0.000859 0.001123 0.001421 0.001744 0.002081 0.002455
2026-02-22 0.000495 0.000777 0.001089 0.001449 0.001845 0.002262 0.002730
2026-03-01 0.000376 0.000679 0.001028 0.001439 0.001899 0.002389 0.002943
2026-03-08 0.000264 0.000577 0.000952 0.001406 0.001922 0.002478 0.003111
2026-03-15 0.000195 0.000516 0.000919 0.001418 0.001991 0.002613 0.003326
2026-03-22 0.000129 0.000449 0.000873 0.001409 0.002033 0.002716 0.003504
2026-03-29 0.000088 0.000410 0.000857 0.001433 0.002110 0.002856 0.003719
2026-04-05 0.000047 0.000356 0.000818 0.001425 0.002149 0.002950 0.003882
2026-04-12 0.000012 0.000292 0.000759 0.001391 0.002154 0.003005 0.003999
2026-04-19 NaN 0.000229 0.000695 0.001347 0.002144 0.003041 0.004093
2026-04-26 NaN 0.000169 0.000639 0.001324 0.002177 0.003144 0.004287
2026-05-03 NaN 0.000126 0.000604 0.001328 0.002242 0.003286 0.004525
2026-05-10 NaN 0.000094 0.000578 0.001343 0.002320 0.003443 0.004781
2026-05-17 NaN 0.000069 0.000562 0.001368 0.002410 0.003614 0.005052
2026-05-24 NaN 0.000038 0.000522 0.001358 0.002455 0.003732 0.005262
2026-05-31 NaN 0.000011 0.000468 0.001326 0.002470 0.003812 0.005429
2026-06-07 NaN 0.000002 0.000446 0.001337 0.002538 0.003954 0.005663
2026-06-14 NaN NaN 0.000413 0.001328 0.002579 0.004063 0.005860
2026-06-21 NaN NaN 0.000403 0.001351 0.002660 0.004217 0.006107
2026-06-28 NaN NaN 0.000373 0.001344 0.002701 0.004323 0.006297
2026-07-05 NaN NaN 0.000330 0.001311 0.002706 0.004386 0.006436